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	<title>SportsCategory: Sports Politics &#124; Sports &#124; TIME.com</title>
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		<title>How Sports Can Forecast the Presidential Election</title>
		<link>http://keepingscore.blogs.time.com/2012/11/02/how-sports-can-forecast-the-presidential-election/</link>
		<comments>http://keepingscore.blogs.time.com/2012/11/02/how-sports-can-forecast-the-presidential-election/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Nov 2012 10:00:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Sean Gregory</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sports Politics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Every presidential election season, we hear about all sorts of factors that can predict the winner. There&#8217;s the stock market, for example, as Kiplinger notes: Jim Stack, editor of InvesTech Research, an investment newsletter, has crunched the numbers. His findings? Since 1900, the direction of stock prices in the two months prior to Election Day has predicted the winner 89.3% of the time. &#8221;A rising stock market indicates an improving economy, which means rising confidence and increases the chance of an incumbent&#8217;s reelection,&#8221; he says. Even the market&#8217;s bad calls were in years when the market didn&#8217;t move much in the two months before Election Day. In the three elections during which the indicator failed, the Dow Jones industrial average moved 3.1% or less during the two-month period. Or there are the kiddies. Via the Washington Times: Since 1940, Scholastic magazine has relied on kids to tell us who will be the next president. The kids have been right 16 out of the last 18 times. Between August 15 and October 10, nearly 250,000 children under 18 from across the country voted for whom they wanted as president in a survey conducted by Scholastic magazine and 51% of the kids picked Obama, 45% Romney and 4% other. Even kids in swing states pinpointed Obama the winner.  Prediction: Obama And sports, it turns out, is also a crystal ball. USA Today&#8217;s Paul Myberg has compiled a few examples of sports results predicting the next president. The most interesting one, ahead of Saturday&#8217;s big Alabama-LSU college football grudge match, is that since 1984, LSU won in years when Republicans were elected. Meanwhile, an Alabama victory bodes well for the Democrats. The results: 1984: LSU 16, Alabama 14. Ronald Reagan (R) demolishes Walter Mondale (D). 1988: LSU 19, Alabama 18. George H.W. Bush (R) defeats Michael Dukakis (D). 1992: Alabama 31, LSU 11. Bill Clinton (D) defeats George H.W. Bush (R). 1996: Alabama 26, LSU 0. Clinton (D) defeats Bob Dole (R). 2000: LSU 30, Alabama 28. George W. Bush (R) defeats Al Gore (D). 2004: LSU 26, Alabama 10. George W.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=keepingscore.blogs.time.com&#038;blog=33268979&#038;post=2342568&#038;subd=timekeepingscore&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Sports Politics</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://keepingscore.blogs.time.com/category/sports-politics/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timekeepingscore.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/bama-lsu.jpg?w=240</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">University of Alabama quarterback TC McCarney (8) runs for a first down past Louisiana State University cornerback Patrick Peterson (7)during their NCAA football game in Baton Rouge,</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Sean Gregory</media:title>
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